Sepsis Coagulopathy

Assessment & Prediction of Mortality in ICU Patients with Sepsis Coagulopathy

Input:

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Algorithm:

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Output:

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique. Duis cursus, mi quis viverra ornare, eros dolor interdum nulla, ut commodo diam libero vitae erat. Aenean faucibus nibh et justo cursus id rutrum lorem imperdiet. Nunc ut sem vitae risus tristique posuere.

Problem Definition

Measurement and Correlation. Define, validate measures of attributes and explore relationships

Coagulation abnormality is found in sepsis patients. Bleeding-related complications are also common. Study hypothesis involving whether or not to be aggressive in correcting high INR is a consistent bedside question. Identify ICU patients with sepsis who are at higher risk and quantify a relationship between sepsis coagulopathy, hemorrhage and mortality

Inputs

Inputs: Team Lead, 3 person cross-functional project team, Mimic iv ICU dataset ( https://mimic.mit.edu/iv/ ), deidentified longitudinal, cross sectional EHR data: 53,423 critical care admissions, 26 tables, 324 variables Charted Events, laboratory measurements (LOINC), over 2 million rows of unstructured data (provider notes) coded with SNOMED CT, ICD-9, ICD-10 and LOINC codes.

Algorithm

Algorithm: R, SQL, Data extraction, inclusion/exclusion criteria, exploratory analysis, logistic regression, random forest decision tree modeling, correlation matrix

Outputs

Outputs: Relationship between INR levels & bleeding, mortality. Identify high risk ICU patients with sepsis.

  • Mortality risk score for decision support tool.
  • Decision tree bedside tool
  • Regression model: Predict mortality, hemorrhage with INR levels.
  • Predicts likelihood of sepsis-induced coagulopathy

Sepsis patients categorized by ICD diagnoses code

Odds Ratio = Odds of bleeding is 130% higher for the patients with severely abnormal INR compared to those with normal INR. Risk Ratio = Patients with sepsis who had higher abnormal INR values had 65% higher risk of bleeding compared to patients with normal INR.

Relationship of INR group with Mortality

Pearson's Chi-square provides evidence that INR category is related to mortality Odds Ratio = Estimated odds for mildly abnormal INR is 180% higher for the patients who expired compared to those who lived.

Impact of Mortality

A 20 yr old severely abnormal INR is twice as likely to die compared to a 70 yr old with normal INR. The derived model serves as a bedside aid based on INR grouping and the impact of other factors available to physicians. A 20 yr old severely abnormal INR is twice as likely to die compared to a 70 yr old with normal INR.

Clinical Decision Support tool

Bedside aids to support clinicians in assessing risk of Mortality Prediction: Positive correlation of INR category and risk of bleeding. There`s a 40% chance that the patient will bleed if the patient`s INR ranking is > 1 , platelet count is <= 132 and length of stay is > 26.5 days

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